Political dynamics increasingly play out in observable digital spaces: a politician posts about migration and a polarised issue public mobilises within hours; a far-right account amplifies a single story and it trends across ten countries; trust in institutions erodes — and the signal appears in search behaviour and platform participation long before it shows up in surveys. An observatory for social-media-based political communication could detect such shifts earlier, at finer temporal resolution, and across more political systems than traditional polling or media monitoring.
The challenge is that social media traces — posts, replies, stances, engagement patterns — were not designed as scientific measures of political opinion or democratic health. The real task is not just collecting data, but constructing valid measures of concepts like congruence, radicalisation, issue ownership, and democratic erosion from noisy, platform-shaped signals.
TRACE would be a scientific instrument that combines social media content and interaction data, party manifesto corpora, web search and participation platform traces, cross-national survey benchmarks, and experimental or observational data on recommendation algorithm designs and their effects on political attitude formation — to detect and interpret shifts in political attitudes and elite-mass dynamics across cultural issues, platforms, and democratic systems.
Building TRACE raises fundamental challenges of measurement, integration, and validation: how concepts like political congruence, issue salience, or radicalisation can be operationalised from platform-native data; how signals can be aligned across languages, countries, and platform architectures; and how automated classifications can be grounded in human annotation, survey validation, and domain expertise rather than only in model outputs. A second set of challenges concerns observability and governance: social media environments are structurally opaque, algorithmically shaped, and unevenly accessible — meaning that what the observatory can see is itself a research problem, and that the design choices of platform infrastructures are not merely context, but object of study.
This framing is intentionally open. A concrete entry point for collaboration are datasets and pipelines already being developed within the partner institutions, including: (i) a corpus of 65 million tweets from 10 EU countries with automated stance classification on migration, climate change, and gender equality; (ii) BERT-based ideology estimation for elected representatives and mass accounts; (iii) the Euromanifestos dataset, extended via automated classification into the digital era; (iv) search and participation platform traces as indicators of political engagement and trust; (v) raw observational data on social media recommendation dynamics, as a basis for an initial study of how algorithm design affects political attitudes (relatedly: Piccardi et al. 2025, Science).
In this workshop, we aim to identify researchers interested in contributing to one or more of these challenges — whether from computational methods, political science, communication studies, psychology, or adjacent fields. We want to map who is working on what, and identify 1–2 concrete starting points for joint work.
Looking ahead, TRACE could serve as a core shared research infrastructure in a future collaborative research programme, providing a longitudinal, cross-national platform for the computational study of political communication and democratic resilience across the partner institutions.